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用户实测 Jev 在 5 分钟比特币预测市场的校准度

Daniel Kovalenko 分享了 Jev(@typesafeai)在 5 分钟比特币预测市场上的表现:模型校准并不完美,存在看跌倾向,例如当它给出 45% 上涨概率时,实际上涨概率为 61%。

in case anyone was curious how accurate Jev (@typesafeai) is on short-duration 5m btc prediction markets - it's not that well calibrated, it leans Down (when it says 45% Up, Up happens 61% of the time) but it was fun to see that it has some calibration out of the box

用户实测 Jev 在 5 分钟比特币预测市场的校准度 1
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